Lights Out 2022 Box Odds for 1/1 & Parallels

Lights Out 2022 Box Odds for 1/1 & Parallels

Each Topps F1 Lights Out 2022 Box contains two parallel cards. In total, there are 62 different cards in the collection. Presuming that Topps has printed all possible parallels of each card, a maximum of the following numbered parallels are available for each of the 62 cards, F2 & Powertrain cards are only available in #/99 or better parallels:

#/150: There are a maximum of 6,300 cards numbered to this parallel

#/99: There are a maximum of 6,138 cards numbered to this parallel

#/75: There are a maximum of 4,650 cards numbered to this parallel

#/49: There are a maximum of 3,038 cards numbered to this parallel

#/25: There are a maximum of 1,550 cards numbered to this parallel

#/15: There are a maximum of 930 cards numbered to this parallel

#/10: There are a maximum of 620 cards numbered to this parallel

#/5: There are a maximum of 310 cards numbered to this parallel

1/1: There are a maximum of 62 cards numbered to this parallel

This is the absolute maximum. Upon release, Topps stated that the collection was print-to-order, which might mean not all the parallels were printed based on demand and projected future demand.

Therefore, the actual odds of hitting parallels may be two times better than the maximum odds stated here. Having usually seen at least one 1/1 per 120 box case, this could mean the odds are twice as good as the maximum possible.

With a maximum of 11,799 boxes available in total, based on two parallels contained in each box, the worst-case/maximum odds of hitting different parallels in a box are:

#/150 Parallel = 53.40% of hitting in a box

#/99 Parallel = 52.00% of hitting in a box

#/75 Parallel = 39.40% of hitting in a box

#/49 Parallel = 25.70% of hitting in a box

#/25 Parallel= 13.10% of hitting in a box

#/15 Parallel = 7.90% of hitting in a box

#/10 Parallel = 5.30% of hitting in a box

#/5 Parallel = 2.60% of hitting in a box

1/1 Parallel = 0.50% of hitting in a box

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